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    Are We More Secure Now Than Four Years Ago?
     
    March 18, 2004

     

    Not Fighting the Good Fight

    The Overstretched American Military. America’s vulnerabilities at home are being compounded by the ever-increasing demands on a U.S. military that is rapidly reaching the limits of its capabilities.

    Though the administration doctrine of preemption announced in its September 20, 2002 National Security Strategy document would only add to the responsibilities of the American military, President Bush and Defense Secretary Rumsfeld insisted that there would be no need for expansion of the armed forces, either through extended recruiting or conscription, even after an invasion of Iraq.

    The result, as James Fallows details in the March 2004 issue of The Atlantic Monthly (“The Hollow Army”), the army has been stretched to the breaking point. Units, including the venerable 101st and 82nd Airborne Divisions, have had units moved from Afghanistan to Iraq, and now face months to replenish men and material to regain full fighting strength. The call up of reservists has reached unprecedented levels, with troops being told to expect at least one one-year deployment every four to five years. The Army is struggling to rotate its 130,000 troops in Iraq, units whose missions will be of indeterminate duration. One more major crisis, such as a confrontation with North Korea over its nuclear program, and the U.S. army would be strained beyond its limits.

    Unfinished Work in Afghanistan. If there was ever a time since VJ Day when the American people were prepared to accept large numbers of U.S. military casualties to defeat a dangerous enemy, the aftermath of 9/11 was it. The Bush administration, however, launched the October 2001 assault on Afghanistan on the cheap. U.S. force levels in country did not exceed 10,000 troops, clearly insufficient for such a large, mountainous country. Bush and Rumsfeld chose instead to have dubious proxies fight for the U.S., with the Northern Alliance and a host of self-serving tribal warlords taking on the Taliban.

    Two and half years later, the results are disconcerting, to say the least. While the Taliban was quickly toppled, Osama Bin Laden and Mullah Omar remain at large. Large numbers of Al Qaeda and Taliban fighters escaped capture and confrontation, and continue to threaten American troops and the Karzai government from their bases in the murky border along the Pakistani frontier. The lack of American or NATO troops on the ground means that security cannot be provided outside Kabul; regional and tribal warlords remain in control. As a result, reconstruction is slowed, stability elusive, and long-term success far from certain.

    Skip Ahead
    1. Security and Myopia
    2. Insecurity Begins at Home
    3. Not Fighting the Good Fight
    4. Losing the Battle for Hearts and Minds
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