Articles
Features
Resources
About Us
 
Search
Newsletter Signup
Enter your email address to receive the In Perrspective newsletter:
Resource Center
  • Presidential Polls
  • Other Polls
  • Document Library
  • U.S. News
  • Int'l News
  • Online & Print Mags
  • Columns/Blogs
  • Elections & Voting
  • Key Data Sources
  • Think Tanks
  • Reading List
  • Oregon Resources
  • Support the Troops
  • Columns and Blogs
  • Eric Alterman
  • AmericaBlog
  • Atrios
  • Bad Reporter
  • BlueOregon
  • Carpetbagger
  • Complete Bushisms
  • Joe Conason
  • CJR Campaign Desk
  • Crooked Timber
  • Crooks and Liars
  • Daily Kos
  • The Decembrist
  • Brad Delong
  • E.J. Dionne
  • Donkey Rising
  • FireDogLake
  • The Gadflyer
  • Glenn Greenwald
  • Huffington Post
  • Hullabaloo
  • Kicking Ass
  • MaxSpeak
  • Media Matters
  • Mark Kleiman
  • Paul Krugman
  • LeftyBlogs
  • MyDD
  • NDN Blog
  • New Donkey
  • Pam's House Blend
  • The Plank (TNR)
  • Political Animal
  • Political Humor
  • The Politico
  • Pollster.com
  • Satirical Political
  • Sideshow
  • Talk2Action
  • Talking Points Memo
  • TPM Cafe
  • TPM Muckraker
  • TAPPED
  • Think Progress
  • TRB
  • Wonkette
  • Matthew Yglesias
  • -- more --
  •  
    March 04, 2008
    Tomorrow's Headlines Today

    As Democrats in Texas and Ohio vote in what could be the decisive primaries today, polls suggest late movement towards Hillary Clinton. But while the outcomes in those key contests may be in doubt, the media's coming interpretation of them is not. In all likelihood, Wednesday's headlines will proclaim Hillary Clinton lost even in victory.

    Both the Obama and Clinton camps have been frantically "pre-spinning" the March 4th primaries. For its part, the Clinton team has announced that anything less than a four-state sweep by Obama today represents voters' rejection of Obamania. Obama's campaign and supporters have countered that nothing Hillary Clinton does on Tuesday can alter the grim delegate calculus leading inexorably to her defeat. Short of 20 point wins in both Texas and Ohio, they contend, Clinton simply can't make up lost ground. Adding grist to their mill is Tom Brokaw's revelation that 50 Democratic superdelegates stand poised to publicly announce their support for Barack Obama.

    Of course, should Clinton lose both the Buckeye and Lone Star states, the race is, for all intents and purposes, over. The reality of delegate math and the demands of party unity would require at least the suspension of her campaign. Even a split will trigger media calls for Hillary to step aside, even if polls suggest Democratic voters feel otherwise.

    But for students of media conventional wisdomology, the real fun begins should Hillary Clinton take both states. (Despite the dubious track record of conflicting polls which remain all over the map, I'm going to stick my neck out and predict Clinton by 8% in Ohio and 3% in Texas. For the sake of preempting the predictable flame wars, I should note that I'm not a Hillary supporter.)

    In almost any other year, twin victories in Ohio and Texas by Senator Clinton after 11 straight primary losses would be viewed as putting a brake on Obama's momentum and fundamentally changing the dynamic of the campaign. News stories and analyses would proclaim "It's Anybody's Race," "We've Got a New Ballgame," and "Fight to the Finish." Those fond of analogies to the 1984 campaign would point to Walter Mondale's wins in just two out of 9 March Super Tuesday states being seen as firewalls that blunted Gary Hart's surge. As it turned out, subsequent Hart stumbles in Illinois, New York and New Jersey ultimately cost him the nomination in the ensuing slugfest. Normally, two key Obama losses combined with the NAFTA quagmire, the still-murky Rezko affair and the possibility of future Obama missteps would be sufficient for the media to pronounce a change in the campaign dynamic.

    But not this year. Press and pundits have been writing Hillary Clinton's political obituary since her thumping in Wisconsin. Having already concluded that the delegate math and lack of remaining big state primaries (unlike 1984) make a Clinton comeback virtually impossible, tomorrow's headlines have already been written. (For just one example, see MSNBC's Keith Olbermann, who just last night questioned her "long term viability" and scoffed that "the threshold for Senator Clinton seems to be lowering every day, what is all right for her to go on, what justifies it.")

    So, even if Hillary Clinton emerges triumphant in Texas and Ohio by the margins I suggested above, Wednesday's headlines will look something like this:

    • "Too Little, Too Late"
    • "Clinton Sweeps Texas and Ohio; Pressure to Drop Out Builds"
    • "Sorry Bill: Close But No Cigar"
    • "Despite Texas Win, It's Adios Hillary"
    • "Obama's Buckeye Beat Down Not Enough to Save Hillary"
    • "Memo to Hillary; Denial is Not a River in Egypt"

    On Monday, a seemingly reenergized Hillary Clinton proclaimed, "I'm just getting warmed up." But almost regardless of what she does tonight, the media will likely conclude that it doesn't matter.

    Perrspective 11:58 AM Permalink
    Comments

    If you're right tonight, we'll never hear the end of Hillary proclaiming "I'm the comeback kid!"

    Posted by Jesse at March 4, 2008 12:50 PM

    Post a comment



     
    Find Entries
    Find by Category:
    Find by Keyword(s):
    Syndicate:
    Recent Entries

    John McCain's Terrible Tuesday
    July 9, 2008 - Comments (2)

    McCain Mimics Bush with Iran Jokes, Bin Laden Boasts
    July 9, 2008 - Comments (0)

    Chickenhawk Goldberg Brands Obama's National Service Plan "Slavery"
    July 8, 2008 - Comments (0)

    McCain's Immaculate Deception on the Economy
    July 7, 2008 - Comments (0)

    Bush's Future Civics Lesson: "Replenish the Ol' Coffers"
    July 6, 2008 - Comments (1)

    Jesse Helms and the Partisan Eulogies of George W. Bush
    July 4, 2008 - Comments (0)

    This Just In From Afghanistan: Bush Doctrine Still Dead.
    July 4, 2008 - Comments (0)

    CBS Shows GOP "Emergency Room" Health Care Plan in Action
    July 3, 2008 - Comments (1)

    McCain in Central America as His 1987 Assault on Nicaraguan Revealed
    July 2, 2008 - Comments (2)

    Broder, Cohen Provide Human Shields for McCain's "Trust" Campaign
    July 1, 2008 - Comments (1)

    Monthly Archives
  • July 2008
  • June 2008
  • May 2008
  • April 2008
  • March 2008
  • February 2008
  • January 2008
  • December 2007
  • November 2007
  • October 2007
  • September 2007
  • August 2007
  • July 2007
  • June 2007
  • May 2007
  • April 2007
  • March 2007
  • February 2007
  • January 2007
  • December 2006
  • November 2006
  • October 2006
  • September 2006
  • August 2006
  • July 2006
  • June 2006
  • May 2006
  • April 2006
  • March 2006
  • February 2006
  • January 2006
  • December 2005
  • November 2005
  • October 2005
  • September 2005
  • August 2005
  • July 2005
  • June 2005
  • May 2005
  • April 2005
  • March 2005
  • February 2005
  • January 2005
  • December 2004
  • November 2004
  • October 2004
  • September 2004
  • August 2004
  • July 2004
  • June 2004
  • May 2004
  • April 2004
  • March 2004
  • February 2004
  • January 2004
  • Category Archives
  • 9/11
  • Barking Mad
  • Bush Admin.
  • Business
  • China
  • Congress
  • Contests
  • Culture War
  • Democrats
  • Economy
  • Education
  • Election '04
  • Election '06
  • Election '08
  • Energy
  • Environment
  • Foreign Policy
  • GOP Quotes
  • Health Care
  • Image Gallery
  • Immigration
  • Iran
  • Iraq
  • John Kerry
  • Media
  • Nat'l Security
  • North Korea
  • Republicans
  • Soc. Security
  • Sports
  • Supreme Court
  • Technology
  • Terrorism
  • The States
  • Top 10 Lists
  •  
     

    Copyright © 2004 - 2008 PERRspectives.com. All Rights Reserved.
    Visit the Contact page to report problems with the site.